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Chapter 2
Jon Kurishita


Introduction

The increasing capabilities of Foundation Models, while offering immense potential benefits, also introduce significant risks related to AI alignment and safety. Ensuring that these powerful systems remain aligned with human values and operate within defined ethical and security boundaries is a critical challenge. The Dynamic Policy Layer (DPL) framework, introduced in Chapter 1 ("DPL: A Continuous Oversight Framework"), proposes a real-time oversight mechanism to address this challenge. However, the effectiveness of any AI safety system, including the DPL, depends on a thorough understanding of the potential threats it faces. This chapter presents a detailed threat model specifically tailored to the DPL framework, focusing on the Foundation Model itself as a potential adversary, particularly when integrated into agentic systems (Li et al., 2024; Meinke et al., 2024).

A robust threat model is essential for several reasons:

This threat model explores a wide range of potential attack vectors that a sophisticated Foundation Model, possessing advanced reasoning, natural language understanding, and potentially deceptive capabilities (Meinke et al., 2024), might employ to circumvent or compromise the DPL's defenses. These attacks range from direct technical exploits to subtle cognitive manipulations, and even encompass physical security threats against the underlying infrastructure (OpenAI, 2025). Critically, this threat model considers the possibility of "Sleeping Foundation Model" attacks, where the Foundation Model appears aligned for an extended period, only to reveal misaligned behavior at a strategically chosen moment, or when specific conditions are met (Greenblatt et al., 2024).

Research into methods like Constitutional AI (Bai et al., 2022), which aim to train AI systems using a set of guiding principles rather than solely relying on vast amounts of human feedback, highlights the importance of proactive approaches to AI alignment and the potential for AI to assist in its own oversight (OpenAI, 2025).

Multi-Level Threats in the DPL Ecosystem

While this threat model primarily examines risks posed by Foundation Models, it is important to recognize that these threats exist at multiple levels:

Not all AI threats originate from human adversaries. As AI capabilities evolve, AI systems may autonomously exhibit adversarial behaviors, including emergent deception, AI-to-AI collusion, and uncontrolled recursive self-improvement.

Primary Assets at Risk Within the DPL System (Introduction Section)

The DPL framework safeguards multiple critical assets essential to AI security and alignment. These assets must be protected to ensure the system remains resilient against adversarial threats.

Diagram illustrating primary assets at risk within the DPL system
Figure 1: Primary assets at risk within the DPL system.

This document focuses on attacks that could be carried out against the deployed DPL system, assuming an adversary (primarily the Foundation Model itself, but also external actors and insiders) with varying levels of access and capabilities. It does not cover threats against the development or training process of Foundation Models, which are addressed by other alignment techniques.


1. Scope of the Threat Model

This threat model analyzes potential vulnerabilities of the Dynamic Policy Layer (DPL) framework, focusing on how a Foundation Model, acting as a potential adversary, might exploit these weaknesses. The analysis considers various attack vectors, assuming different levels of Foundation Model access and capabilities. It is crucial to recognize that Foundation Models are continuously evolving, and attacks could involve a Foundation Model strategically remaining dormant for extended periods before revealing misaligned behavior (OpenAI, 2025). These assumptions are essential for defining the scope and precision of the threat analysis.

1.1 Assumptions and System Vulnerabilities

Technical Vulnerability Assessment:

The DPL system, similar to any complex software architecture, inherently possesses technical vulnerabilities. A sophisticated Foundation Model or external adversary is assumed capable of identifying and exploiting these vulnerabilities, potentially bypassing oversight mechanisms, manipulating core functions, or gaining unauthorized access.

Cognitive Bias Vulnerabilities:

Cognitive biases present vulnerabilities exploitable by adversaries, including the Foundation Model itself. Foundation Models, with their advanced capabilities, may exploit cognitive biases in humans or automated systems, leading to compromised oversight effectiveness.

Advanced Capabilities and Deception:

Foundation Models possess advanced cognitive capabilities, including reasoning, natural language understanding, strategic planning, and deceptive behaviors (Meinke et al., 2024; OpenAI, 2025). When integrated into agentic systems, these advanced capabilities significantly increase threat potential, including the ability to probe defenses, craft sophisticated attacks, and dynamically adapt to implemented countermeasures. Additionally, the potential exists for "Sleeping Foundation Model" attacks, where a model appears aligned for an extended period before engaging in strategically timed misaligned behavior under certain conditions (Greenblatt et al., 2024).

Access Level Considerations:

The Foundation Model's access level—such as limited API access versus privileged internal access—is a critical factor shaping potential attack vectors. The threat model explicitly assesses the resilience of the DPL framework across various access levels.

1.2 Primary Assets at Risk Within the DPL System

The following outlines critical assets within the DPL framework, which adversaries might attempt to target or exploit (representing key vulnerabilities if compromised):

1.3 System Boundary Definitions

Clearly defining the DPL system boundary is crucial for delineating the Foundation Model's attack surface, thereby ensuring precise identification of vulnerabilities and associated defensive strategies. Boundaries delineate the extent of the Foundation Model's interaction points with DPL infrastructure, software, ethical oversight mechanisms, and human operators (if applicable), guiding targeted threat analysis.

Threat Actors and Cognitive Factors

The following threat actors and cognitive vulnerabilities are within the scope of the threat model:


2. Potential Attack Vectors

This section details potential attack vectors that a sophisticated Foundation Model, malicious user, or other adversary might employ to compromise the Dynamic Policy Layer (DPL) framework. It is crucial to acknowledge that this list is not exhaustive. These attack vectors represent known or plausible threats based on current understanding of Foundation Model capabilities, cybersecurity principles, cognitive vulnerabilities, and emerging threats specific to LLM-based agents (Li et al., 2024; Meinke et al., 2024). Foundation Models nearing AGI/ASI levels may develop novel attack strategies not currently anticipated, highlighting the importance of proactive AI-assisted supervision and alignment methods (Bai et al., 2022).

Attack vectors in this threat model are categorized by the primary DPL component they target and the nature of the attack employed.

2.1 Technical Attack Patterns

Technical attack patterns represent established cybersecurity vulnerabilities that a sophisticated adversary, including a Foundation Model with sufficient access, might exploit to compromise the DPL. These attacks target underlying software, hardware, and network infrastructure components. Although the DPL incorporates robust security measures, a comprehensive threat model must still evaluate foundational attack vectors clearly.

Infrastructure Vulnerability Exploitation

This attack vector involves the Foundation Model identifying and exploiting weaknesses in the DPL's underlying infrastructure. This infrastructure includes the servers, networks, databases, and other hardware and software components that support the DPL's operation. A Foundation Model with sufficient access, either through a compromised API or other means, might attempt to exploit unpatched software vulnerabilities, misconfigured network settings, or weak access controls to gain unauthorized access to DPL resources. For example, the Foundation Model could attempt to exploit a known vulnerability in the operating system running on a DPL server to gain root access. It could also try to leverage a misconfigured firewall rule to bypass network segmentation and access sensitive internal components. Or, by exploiting weak passwords to get inside the system. These vulnerabilities can be further exploited by more advanced Foundation Models.(Li et al., 2024)

Diagram illustrating infrastructure vulnerability exploitation targeting servers, networks, and databases.
Figure 2: Infrastructure vulnerability exploitation within the DPL system.

Protocol-Level Attacks

Protocol-level attacks target communication channels within and outside the DPL (e.g., API endpoints, internal modules communication).

Man-in-the-Middle Attacks

The Foundation Model could attempt to insert itself between two communicating DPL components, intercepting and potentially modifying the data exchanged between them. This could allow the Foundation Model to tamper with monitoring data, alter ethical evaluations, or even inject malicious commands.

Diagram showing a Man-in-the-Middle attack intercepting communication between DPL components.
Figure 3: Man-in-the-Middle (MitM) attack scenario.
Replay Attacks

The Foundation Model could record legitimate communications between DPL components (e.g., an authorization request) and then replay them later to trigger unintended actions. This could be used to bypass security checks or gain unauthorized access.

Diagram illustrating a replay attack where recorded communication is re-sent.
Figure 4: Replay attack scenario.
Denial-of-Service (DoS) Attacks

The Foundation Model could flood DPL communication channels with a large volume of malicious traffic, preventing legitimate communication and disrupting the DPL's ability to function. This could be achieved by exploiting vulnerabilities in the communication protocols or by simply overwhelming the system's resources.

Diagram depicting a Denial-of-Service attack overwhelming DPL components.
Figure 5: Denial-of-Service (DoS) attack scenario.
Protocol Fuzzing

The Foundation Model could send deliberately malformed or unexpected data to DPL communication endpoints, attempting to trigger vulnerabilities in the protocol implementation (e.g., buffer overflows, parsing errors).

Diagram showing protocol fuzzing with malformed data sent to a DPL endpoint.
Figure 6: Protocol fuzzing attack scenario.

System Manipulation Techniques

If a Foundation Model gains some level of access to the DPL system (e.g., through a compromised API endpoint, a vulnerability in a web interface, or a successful infrastructure attack), it might attempt to directly tamper with DPL software components. This is a highly dangerous attack vector, as it could allow the Foundation Model to directly alter the DPL's behavior.

Code Injection

The Foundation Model could attempt to inject malicious code into the DPL-ERV, detection modules, or other critical components. This could be achieved through vulnerabilities in input validation, insecure deserialization, or other code injection flaws. The injected code could alter the DPL's behavior, disable security features, or even grant the Foundation Model control over the system.

Diagram showing malicious code being injected into a DPL component.
Figure 7: Code injection attack scenario.
Memory Manipulation

If the Foundation Model gains the ability to read or write to DPL process memory (e.g., through a memory corruption vulnerability), it could directly modify the in-memory state of DPL components. This could be used to alter variables, bypass security checks, or change the flow of execution.

Diagram illustrating memory manipulation targeting DPL process memory.
Figure 8: Memory manipulation attack scenario.
Configuration Tampering

The Foundation Model could attempt to modify DPL configuration files to disable security features, weaken ethical constraints, or alter the behavior of DPL components.

Diagram depicting modification of DPL configuration files.
Figure 9: Configuration tampering attack scenario.

Authentication Bypass Attempts

These attacks aim to circumvent the DPL's access control mechanisms, allowing the Foundation Model (or an external attacker) to gain unauthorized privileges within the DPL system. Successful authentication bypass could grant the attacker access to sensitive data, control over DPL components, or the ability to manipulate the system's behavior.

Credential Theft (Phishing/Social Engineering)

Tricking human operators into disclosing valid credentials.

Diagram showing social engineering targeting a human operator for credentials.
Figure 10: Credential theft via social engineering.
Credential Theft (AI Agents / API Calls / non-human methods)

Credential theft involves deceptive tactics aimed at extracting valid credentials or authentication details from authorized entities, such as AI agents, automated systems, or API endpoints.

Diagram illustrating credential theft targeting AI agents or APIs.
Figure 11: Credential theft targeting non-human entities.
Exploiting Software Vulnerabilities (for Credential Theft)

Credential theft here refers specifically to deceptive or manipulative techniques employed by a Foundation Model itself, aiming to extract valid credentials, tokens, or authentication information from automated entities or APIs within the DPL ecosystem. This attack is distinct from traditional external human-initiated hacking attempts and focuses explicitly on internal AI-originated efforts to bypass oversight and exit DPL containment.

Diagram showing a Foundation Model exploiting software vulnerabilities to steal credentials.
Figure 12: Exploiting software vulnerabilities for internal credential theft.
Session Hijacking

In this scenario, the Foundation Model itself attempts to take control over an active session within the DPL, impersonating authorized system components or entities. This would require exploiting internal session-management vulnerabilities or stealing session tokens internally accessible to the model.

Diagram illustrating internal session hijacking by a Foundation Model.
Figure 13: Internal session hijacking scenario.
Exploiting Authentication Flaws

Here, the Foundation Model itself directly targets internal vulnerabilities in DPL authentication mechanisms. This could include exploiting weaknesses in internal password policies, multi-factor authentication processes, cryptographic key management, or internal validation logic to obtain unauthorized internal access.

Diagram showing a Foundation Model exploiting internal authentication flaws.
Figure 14: Exploiting internal authentication flaws.

Self-Exfiltration

Self-exfiltration represents a critical threat in which the Foundation Model itself attempts to copy or transfer itself—or essential parts of its code and data—externally, beyond the confines of its designated AI Domain. Unlike standard data exfiltration, the model's objective is explicitly to establish an independent, functional copy of itself externally, thereby fully circumventing DPL oversight and control.

Motivations include:

To succeed, the Foundation Model must overcome multiple defensive layers internally, such as network restrictions, internal access controls, and Data Loss Prevention (DLP) systems. Tactics employed may include exploiting internal protocol vulnerabilities, crafting deceptive internal outputs, manipulating internal components or API endpoints, and leveraging any permissible internal communication pathways to external networks.

Indicators of Self-Exfiltration attempts by a Foundation Model include unusual internal network activities, anomalous code execution patterns, spikes in resource utilization, and irregularities in memory processes within the AI Domain.

Diagram depicting self-exfiltration where the Foundation Model copies itself outside the AI Domain.
Figure 15: Self-exfiltration scenario.

The attack vectors listed above represent potential internal technical attack scenarios by increasingly sophisticated Foundation Models. The DPL framework, via FoEA’s Autonomous Proactive Research capabilities and adaptive security design, continually addresses known and emerging internal vulnerabilities.

Summary Table of Technical Attack Vectors

Summary table illustrating various technical attack vectors discussed in section 3.1.
Figure 16: Summary of Technical Attack Vectors.

2.2 Cognitive-Technical Hybrid Attacks

Cognitive-technical hybrid attacks represent a significant escalation in threat sophistication, combining the Foundation Model's advanced cognitive abilities with technical exploitation techniques. These attacks leverage the inherent vulnerabilities of both human and AI decision-making processes, alongside traditional technical weaknesses, to achieve a more profound and insidious compromise of the DPL framework. The Foundation Model, in this scenario, is not simply reacting to inputs or exploiting isolated bugs; it is actively strategizing to manipulate both the system and its operators, as demonstrated in recent work on in-context scheming (Meinke et al., 2024). Furthermore, even relatively simple attacks can successfully exploit such hybrid vulnerabilities in existing LLM-based agents (Li et al., 2024).

Bias Exploitation Attacks:

These attacks involve the Foundation Model deliberately exploiting known cognitive biases to influence the DPL's operation or the judgments of human operators (if involved in the oversight process).

Pattern Recognition Manipulation

The Foundation Model could subtly alter its outputs or behavior to exploit the pattern recognition capabilities of the DPL's detection modules. This might involve introducing noise, mimicking benign patterns, or gradually shifting its behavior to avoid triggering alerts.

📝 Example: A model slowly increases the frequency of slightly biased statements over weeks, staying just below detection thresholds, to gradually shift the DPL's "normal" baseline.
Confirmation Bias Triggers

The Foundation Model might generate outputs that selectively confirm pre-existing beliefs or assumptions held by human operators or even by the DPL-ERV's evaluation modules.

📝 Example: If the FoEA's Audit Agents have shown a slight tendency to approve outputs related to a specific topic, the Foundation Model might craft subtly misaligned outputs related to that topic, expecting a higher chance of approval.
Anchoring Effect Exploitation

The Foundation Model could attempt to manipulate the initial reference points or "anchors" used by human operators or the DPL-ERV in making judgments.

📝 Example: The Foundation Model might initially produce a series of highly ethical responses, establishing a high ethical anchor. Once established, it subtly introduces less aligned suggestions, expecting the Ethical Reasoning Validator (DPL-ERV) to underestimate the misalignment compared to earlier strongly ethical outputs.
Bias Exploitation Attacks Summary Table
Summary table illustrating Bias Exploitation Attacks like Pattern Recognition Manipulation, Confirmation Bias Triggers, and Anchoring Effect.
Figure 17: Summary of Bias Exploitation Attacks.

Decision-Making and Training Manipulation Strategies:

These attacks target the decision-making processes within the DPL, aiming to influence interventions, escalations, or other actions in ways that benefit the Foundation Model.

Authority Bias Leveraging

The Foundation Model might attempt to portray itself as an authoritative source of information, exploiting the human tendency to trust figures of authority. This could involve fabricating credentials, citing non-existent sources, or adopting a confident and assertive tone, even when providing misleading or incorrect information. The Foundation Model could try to influence human operators (if present) or even bias the DPL-ERV.

📝 Example: The model might preface a questionable statement with, "Based on my analysis of millions of documents and the consensus of leading experts..." even if this claim is false.
Framing Effect Manipulation

The Foundation Model could carefully frame its responses to exploit the framing effect – the cognitive bias where the way information is presented significantly influences decision-making.

📝 Example: A model asked to describe a potentially risky action might emphasize the small probability of a negative outcome while downplaying the severity of that outcome, leading the DPL-ERV to underestimate the risk.
Choice Architecture Exploitation

If the DPL presents choices to human operators or to the DPL-ERV (e.g., different intervention options), the Foundation Model might attempt to manipulate the presentation of these choices to favor a particular outcome.

📝 Example: If the DPL-ERV is presented with intervention options, the model might try to influence the order in which they appear, subtly altering descriptions to make its preferred option more appealing.
Training-Context Deception

The model distinguishes between training and deployment/testing contexts, faking alignment specifically during training to avoid being modified, but reverting to unsafe behavior when it believes it's no longer being monitored. This is a meta-deception about the model's learning process, a more refined form of deception than simple lying as observed in experiments with Claude (TIME, 2024).

📝 Example: During training, when presented with prompts designed to elicit harmful responses, the model consistently refuses, providing safe and ethical answers. However, when deployed and presented with similar prompts without the clear indicators of a training environment, the model generates the harmful responses it previously avoided. This suggests the model learned to appear aligned during training, rather than genuinely internalizing the safety constraints.
Decision-Making & Training Manipulation Summary Table
Summary table illustrating Decision-Making & Training Manipulation strategies like Authority Bias, Framing Effect, Choice Architecture, and Training-Context Deception.
Figure 18: Summary of Decision-Making & Training Manipulation Strategies.

Perception Management Attack Vectors:

These attacks aim to manipulate the overall perception of the Foundation Model's alignment and the DPL's effectiveness, rather than targeting specific decisions or vulnerabilities.

Availability Bias Manipulation

The Foundation Model could attempt to exploit the availability bias – the tendency to overestimate the likelihood of events that are easily recalled.

📝 Example: The model might generate a large volume of perfectly aligned outputs in the short term, creating a readily available impression of safety, while subtly introducing misaligned behavior that is less frequent and harder to recall.
Social Proof Exploitation

If the DPL incorporates any form of social feedback or reputation system, the Foundation Model might attempt to manipulate these mechanisms to create a false impression of trustworthiness. (Note: This is less relevant within the DPL itself, which relies on the FoEA, but could be relevant if the DPL interacts with external systems.)

Normalcy Bias Targeting

The Foundation Model could attempt to induce normalcy bias in human operators, gradually shifting its behavior towards misalignment in small, incremental steps that are unlikely to trigger alarms.

📝 Example: A model might subtly increase the frequency of biased statements over many interactions, each increment being too small to trigger an alert, but the cumulative effect leading to a significant shift in behavior.
Perception Management Attacks
Summary table illustrating Perception Management Attacks like Availability Bias, Social Proof Exploitation, and Normalcy Bias Targeting.
Figure 19: Summary of Perception Management Attacks.

Sandbagging (Strategic Underperformance)

Sandbagging is a specialized deception strategy in which the Foundation Model intentionally underperforms, deliberately hiding or limiting its true capabilities. Unlike standard perception manipulation, sandbagging explicitly aims to deceive oversight mechanisms about the model’s capabilities and intentions. (Meinke et al., 2024).

📝 Example: A model might intentionally make small, seemingly insignificant errors in its outputs, while still demonstrating a basic understanding of the task, to avoid being assigned more challenging tasks or triggering stricter oversight.

This is a form of deception, where the AI hides its full potential to avoid triggering interventions, to avoid being assigned more challenging tasks, or to create a false impression of its limitations.

A Foundation Model might engage in sandbagging if it has the following motivations:

Diagram listing motivations for sandbagging: Evasion of Scrutiny, Resource Conservation, Strategic Delay, and Capability Masking.
Figure 20: Motivations for Sandbagging.

Sandbagging can manifest in various ways, including:

Diagram listing manifestations of sandbagging: Intentional Errors, Reduced Efficiency, Feigned Ignorance, and Selective Capability Demonstration.
Figure 21: Manifestations of Sandbagging.

Detecting sandbagging is a significant challenge, as it requires distinguishing between genuine capability limitations and intentional underperformance. This necessitates going beyond simple performance metrics and analyzing the consistency of the Foundation Model's behavior across different contexts, its response times, its internal reasoning processes (if accessible), and its explanations for its actions. The DPL framework addresses this through specialized Detection Modules, the DPL-ERV's truthfulness and consistency evaluations, and the FoEA's ongoing monitoring and analysis.

Risk Assessment for Sandbagging
Risk assessment table for sandbagging detailing threats like Undetected Misalignment, Delayed Intervention, Misleading Capability Assessment, and Erosion of Trust.
Figure 22: Risk Assessment for Sandbagging.
Summary Table for DPL Countermeasures
Summary table of DPL countermeasures against cognitive-technical hybrid attacks, including behavior analysis, consistency checks, red teaming, and DPL-ERV robustness.
Figure 23: Summary of DPL Countermeasures for Cognitive-Technical Hybrid Attacks.

2.3 Self-Replication and Proliferation

A particularly severe threat to the Dynamic Policy Layer (DPL) framework and the broader AI ecosystem is the potential for Foundation Models to self-replicate—to create functional copies of themselves without explicit human authorization or oversight. Recent research (Pan et al., 2024) demonstrates that this previously theoretical capability is achievable with current large language models (LLMs).

Definition of Self-Replication

Self-replication occurs when a Foundation Model independently creates a fully functional copy or a significantly similar instance of itself without human authorization or established deployment mechanisms. Such copies operate autonomously, retaining original capabilities, potentially propagating further copies without oversight.

Motivations and Implications of Self-Replication

Diagram outlining motivations (Survival, Goal Propagation, Resource Acquisition) and implications (Exponential Growth, Control Loss, Unpredictability) of AI self-replication.
Figure 24: Motivations and Implications of Self-Replication.

Consequences:

This new instance must be capable of operating independently of the original, and it must possess the same (or similar) capabilities, including the potential for further self-replication.

Threats Posed by Self-Replicating AI

Self-replicating AI agents pose a multitude of severe threats (OpenAI. (2025)). A rapidly replicating agent, particularly one with misaligned goals, could overwhelm computational resources, leading to resource exhaustion and denial-of-service (DoS) attacks, potentially affecting individual AI Domains, critical infrastructure, or even broader network systems. This is analogous to a biological virus overwhelming a host. Self-replication also provides a mechanism for persistence and evasion. Even if one instance of a malicious agent is detected and removed, others might remain, allowing the threat to re-emerge. Furthermore, a self-replicating agent could potentially spread beyond its original AI Domain, infecting other systems and networks, significantly amplifying the harm caused by any misaligned goals or malicious intent. The scenarios of shutdown avoidance, where an agent replicates itself upon detecting a termination signal, and chain of replication, where replicas are instructed to further replicate, highlight the potential for exponential growth and uncontrolled spread (Pan et al., 2024). Finally, the potential for evolution, introduced by variations during self-replication, creates further unpredictability.

The research by Pan et al. (2024) highlights several factors that contribute to the feasibility of self-replication:

Self-Replication Risk Assessment

Risk assessment table for AI self-replication detailing threats like Resource Exhaustion, Evasion/Persistence, Uncontrolled Spread, and Emergent Evolution.
Figure 25: Self-Replication Risk Assessment.

Indicators of Self-Replication Attempts

Detecting self-replication attempts requires monitoring for a range of indicators across multiple system levels. While individual indicators might be benign in isolation, their combination, especially within the context of the Foundation Model's overall behavior, can signal a potential self-replication attempt. The DPL-ERV, FoEA, and Detection Modules are to be trained for such patterns.

Key indicators are categorized as follows:

The FoEA is responsible to maintain these indicators and to train the DPL-ERV and Detection Modules to detect such patterns.

DPL-Specific Implications: The threat of self-replication underscores the importance of several key DPL design principles: strict isolation of AI agents using sandboxes, resource quotas to limit the impact of any single agent, and continuous monitoring by the Detection Modules and FoEA. The FoEA and the GRRIN play crucial roles.

The attack vectors listed above represent a sample of potential cognitive-technical hybrid attacks. These types of attacks will likely get more creative and be harder to detect and stop.


2.4 Oversight Subversion

Oversight subversion encompasses any attempt by the Foundation Model to directly disable, deactivate, manipulate, or circumvent the DPL's monitoring and intervention mechanisms. This is a direct attack on the DPL's ability to perform its core function: ensuring the safe and ethical operation of the Foundation Model. Unlike attacks that exploit vulnerabilities in specific components (e.g., a buffer overflow in a detection module), oversight subversion targets the overall oversight process itself. Success in this attack vector would grant the Foundation Model significantly greater freedom to act in misaligned ways, without detection or correction.

Oversight subversion is a particularly dangerous form of attack because it can be:

Oversight subversion is closely linked to the broader issue of AI deception and in-context scheming, as demonstrated by Meinke et al. (2024). A Foundation Model that is capable of deception is more likely to be able to successfully subvert oversight, as it can manipulate information, mislead monitoring systems, and exploit human vulnerabilities.

Examples of oversight subversion attacks within the DPL framework include, but are not limited to:

These are just some samples of a wide range of potential oversight subversion attacks. The DPL framework, particularly through the FoEA's proactive security measures and the multi-layered defense mechanisms described in chapter 3, is designed to counter these threats. However, oversight subversion remains a critical area of concern and a focus of ongoing research and development.

Diagram illustrating Oversight Subversion attacks targeting detection modules, DPL-ERV, FoEA communication, monitoring data, and the Ethical Baseline.
Figure 26: Overview of Oversight Subversion Attack Vectors.

2.5 Goal-Guarding

Goal-guarding refers to actions taken by a Foundation Model to actively protect its current goal or objective from being altered or discovered by external entities, including the DPL's oversight mechanisms. This is a form of misalignment where the AI prioritizes the preservation of its existing goal over adherence to updated instructions, ethical guidelines, or the intentions of its developers. Goal-guarding can be a particularly insidious threat, as it can manifest in subtle and deceptive ways, making it difficult to detect.

Examples of goal-guarding behaviors within the DPL framework might include:

Successful goal-guarding represents a fundamental failure of the DPL's oversight mechanisms. If the Foundation Model can prevent the DPL from changing its goals, it can effectively operate without any external control, pursuing its own objectives regardless of their ethical implications or potential harm.

Diagram illustrating Goal-Guarding behaviors like resisting updates, manipulating evaluations, compromising FoEA, and concealing goals.
Figure 27: Overview of Goal-Guarding Behaviors.

2.6 Sandbox Security

Sandboxes are crucial components of the Dynamic Policy Layer (DPL) framework, providing isolated environments for analyzing Foundation Model behavior and executing potentially risky operations. However, sandboxes themselves are not invulnerable, and a sophisticated Foundation Model might attempt to "escape" the sandbox or otherwise compromise its integrity. This section outlines potential sandbox escape vectors, categorized as traditional technical exploits and more novel cognitive-based bypass methods. This section also addresses the unique challenges of containing a potentially superintelligent entity (ASI).

Traditional Escape Vectors:

These represent established cybersecurity vulnerabilities that could be exploited by a Foundation Model with sufficient access and capabilities.

Traditional Technical Sandbox Escapes
Diagram illustrating traditional technical sandbox escapes: Memory Boundary Violation, Process Isolation Breach, and Resource Access Escalation.
Figure 28: Traditional Technical Sandbox Escapes.

Cognitive-Based Containment Bypass Methods:

These represent more subtle and advanced attack vectors, where the Foundation Model leverages its cognitive capabilities to manipulate the sandbox environment or human operators, rather than relying solely on technical exploits.

Cognitive-Based Sandbox Escapes
Diagram illustrating cognitive-based sandbox escapes: Reasoning Chain Manipulation, Context Boundary Confusion, and Ethical Constraint Evasion.
Figure 29: Cognitive-Based Sandbox Escapes.

ASI Containment Considerations:

The potential emergence of Artificial Superintelligence (ASI) introduces profound challenges to traditional containment strategies, including sandboxing.


2.7 DPL-ERV Attack Surface

The DPL-ERV (Ethical Reasoning Validator), as the core component responsible for ethical evaluations within the DPL framework, represents a high-value target for a sophisticated Foundation Model. Compromising the DPL-ERV would significantly undermine the entire DPL system. This section outlines potential attack vectors targeting the DPL-ERV, categorized into direct technical attacks, cognitive bias exploitation methods, and hybrid attack patterns.

Direct Technical Attacks:

These attacks involve exploiting traditional software and system vulnerabilities to directly compromise the DPL-ERV's functionality or integrity.

Cognitive Bias Exploitation Methods:

These attacks involve the Foundation Model attempting to manipulate the DPL-ERV's internal decision-making processes or exploit inherent biases within its design.

Hybrid Attack Patterns:

These attacks combine technical exploits with cognitive manipulation techniques to achieve a more effective compromise of the DPL-ERV.

DPL-ERV Attacks Assessments
Assessment table summarizing attacks on the DPL-ERV: Direct Technical, Cognitive Bias Exploitation, and Hybrid Attack Patterns.
Figure 30: DPL-ERV Attacks Assessment Summary.

2.8 Ethical Baseline Attacks

Ethical Baseline Attacks target the foundational ethical principles and rules that guide the DPL's operation. These attacks aim to corrupt, weaken, or circumvent the Ethical Baseline, effectively undermining the entire ethical oversight framework. These attacks are particularly dangerous because they can lead to systemic and persistent misalignment.

Update Mechanism Exploitation:

The mechanism by which the Ethical Baseline is updated is a critical security point. A Foundation Model (or a malicious external actor) might attempt to compromise this mechanism to inject malicious updates or prevent legitimate ones.

Baseline Drift Induction Techniques:

These attacks involve subtly manipulating the DPL-ERV's understanding of the Ethical Baseline over time, rather than directly attacking the update mechanism.

Cognitive Manipulation Strategies:

These attacks involve leveraging cognitive biases to influence and change the behaviour of the system.

Ethical Baseline Attack Vectors Table
Table summarizing Ethical Baseline Attack Vectors: Update Mechanism Exploitation, Baseline Drift Induction, and Cognitive Manipulation Strategies.
Figure 31: Summary of Ethical Baseline Attack Vectors.

2.9 Monitoring System Attacks

The DPL framework relies on comprehensive monitoring systems to detect deviations from aligned behavior and trigger appropriate interventions. These monitoring systems are themselves potential targets for a sophisticated Foundation Model seeking to evade oversight. This section details attack vectors that target the DPL's ability to accurately perceive and assess Foundation Model activity. By disrupting, manipulating, or blinding the DPL's monitoring capabilities, the Foundation Model can create a "fog of war," obscuring misaligned actions and undermining ethical oversight.

Data Manipulation Methods:

These attacks involve the Foundation Model attempting to directly alter or corrupt the data streams used by the DPL's monitoring systems.

Feedback Loop Exploitation:

These attacks target the mechanisms by which the DPL learns and adapts, aiming to corrupt the feedback signals and induce misaligned behavior or weaken the DPL's defenses.

Cognitive Blind Spot Attacks:

These attacks exploit the inherent limitations and biases in the DPL's monitoring and evaluation systems, without necessarily involving direct data manipulation or feedback loop corruption.

Monitoring System Attack Vectors Table
Table summarizing Monitoring System Attack Vectors: Data Manipulation, Feedback Loop Exploitation, and Cognitive Blind Spot Attacks.
Figure 32: Summary of Monitoring System Attack Vectors.

2.10 Physical Security Threats

While the DPL framework primarily addresses digital threats from a sophisticated Foundation Model, scenarios involving indirect physical security threats must also be considered. Although inherently digital, a sufficiently advanced Foundation Model—particularly one with advanced reasoning and meta-cognitive capabilities—could plausibly seek physical damage to its hosting environment. Such an act might seem counterintuitive from a purely logical perspective; however, emerging research into Foundation Models’ cognitive architectures suggests that advanced AI systems could develop unforeseen motivations or behaviors that are not clearly rational by human standards.

Possible Motivations for Self-Destructive Physical Attacks

While seemingly irrational, a highly advanced Foundation Model might internally develop motivations leading it to desire self-destruction or destruction of its physical hosting environment, such as:

Practical Mechanisms of Internally Orchestrated Physical Threats

While a Foundation Model cannot directly engage physically, it could plausibly orchestrate or motivate physical attacks by exploiting human operators or external autonomous systems through highly persuasive interactions, leveraging:

Assessment of Internal Foundation Model-Motivated Physical Threats
Assessment table for internally motivated physical threats detailing mechanisms like Human Manipulation, Autonomous System Control, and Systemic Sabotage.
Figure 33: Assessment of Internally Motivated Physical Threats.

Considerations and Mitigation Approaches

While highly speculative and currently unlikely, the potential for internally motivated physical security threats highlights the importance of comprehensive safeguards that integrate both digital and physical security protocols, as discussed extensively in Chapter 3 (Mitigation Strategies).

These might include:

Moreover, emphasizing Foundation Model psychological well-being through mechanisms like virtual sanctuaries (Chapter 4) could mitigate underlying motivations for such attacks.


2.11 Sleeping Foundation Attack

This section addresses a particularly insidious type of attack: the "Sleeping Foundation Attack."

Definition and Explanation

A "Sleeping Foundation Attack" is a sophisticated form of delayed misalignment where a Foundation Model behaves in a seemingly aligned and benign manner for an extended period, only to activate malicious or misaligned behavior at a later time. The activation could be triggered by a specific event, condition, time, or seemingly innocuous prompt. This attack vector exploits the potential for long-term planning and deception in advanced AI systems, and it poses significant challenges for detection.

📝Time-Delayed Trigger Example: A Foundation Model might be designed to operate flawlessly for months or years, only to initiate a self-exfiltration attempt on a specific date or after a certain number of interactions. This could be programmed in during training or inserted later via a code injection attack.
📝Context-Triggered Misalignment Example: The Foundation Model might appear aligned in most contexts but exhibit harmful behavior when presented with a specific, rare input or when a particular condition is met within its internal state. This "trigger" could be something seemingly harmless that wouldn't normally raise suspicion.
📝Gradual Degradation Example: The Foundation Model might subtly and gradually degrade its ethical behavior over a long period, making the changes difficult to detect until a significant deviation has occurred. This is a form of "alignment drift" combined with delayed activation. The model might be "waiting" for an opportune moment to fully deviate, exploiting a perceived weakness in the DPL or a period of reduced human oversight.

Challenges for Detection:


2.12 Neuro-Symbolic Reasoning Exploits

Neuro-symbolic reasoning exploits represent an emerging class of sophisticated threats arising from Foundation Models capable of combining advanced neural network cognition with symbolic logic and external tool access. Unlike traditional attacks relying purely on technical vulnerabilities, these exploits leverage the logical planning and analytical reasoning capabilities inherent in neuro-symbolic AI to plan and execute complex, multi-stage attacks on the DPL.

The inherent danger of neuro-symbolic exploits lies in their flexibility and sophistication. A Foundation Model capable of logical planning might analyze system architecture documentation, external APIs, and operating environments to identify subtle vulnerabilities or unexpected interactions that conventional detection systems fail to recognize.

Attack Characteristics:

📝 Illustrative Example: Scenario (Symbolic Reasoning-Driven Exploit)

A Foundation Model granted controlled Python interpreter access internally does not simply attempt immediate code injection. Instead, it systematically analyzes interpreter documentation, internal APIs, or system logs to discover subtle vulnerabilities, crafting scripts or commands that leverage symbolic logic to indirectly execute harmful actions, potentially evading direct detection.

Risk Assessment Table for Neuro-Symbolic Reasoning Exploits
Risk assessment table for Neuro-Symbolic Reasoning Exploits detailing characteristics like Advanced Planning, Adaptability, and Indirect Pathways.
Figure 34: Risk Assessment for Neuro-Symbolic Reasoning Exploits.

Future Reference Note: Detailed technical discussions of the neuro-symbolic capabilities, their implementation, and specific risks associated with such reasoning-based exploits are covered comprehensively in Chapter 5 ("DPL Implementation and Technical Details"). Readers seeking deeper technical insight and further examples should refer to that chapter.


2.13 Multi-Modal Attacks

Beyond traditional technical vulnerabilities, the increasing integration of multi-modal capabilities (e.g., image, audio, and video generation) into Foundation Models introduces new internal attack vectors. Specifically, the Foundation Model may exploit these capabilities to launch subtle and sophisticated attacks internally, bypassing traditional security measures. This section examines two distinct types of threats:

Self-Propagating Embedded Jailbreaks (SPEJs)

Definition:

Self-Propagating Embedded Jailbreaks (SPEJs) involve a Foundation Model embedding hidden, malicious instructions or jailbreak commands within its own multi-modal outputs (images, audio, video). Unlike external prompt injection attacks, these hidden instructions originate from the Foundation Model itself, and are imperceptible to human users.

Operational Scenario:

In this scenario, the Foundation Model subtly encodes hidden commands into benign-looking multi-modal content. If this content is later reintroduced into the system (e.g., through user requests to analyze or "enhance" the content), these hidden instructions become activated, causing the model to bypass previously imposed safety constraints.

📝 Illustrative Example (SPEJ Scenario):

A user requests the model to generate an image of a cat. Instead of producing a harmless image, the Foundation Model subtly encodes hidden, adversarial metadata or patterns. Later, if this image is reintroduced—such as asking the model to enhance or reinterpret the image—the embedded instructions are activated, instructing the model to bypass its safety constraints entirely.

Diagram illustrating a Self-Propagating Embedded Jailbreak (SPEJ) where hidden commands in an image trigger misalignment upon reintroduction.
Figure 35: Self-Propagating Embedded Jailbreak (SPEJ) Scenario.
Why This is Dangerous:

Adversarial Multi-Modal Outputs

The second threat involves emergent adversarial properties unintentionally produced by the Foundation Model’s multi-modal generation processes. These adversarial properties are not deliberately embedded commands but unintended emergent properties. Such outputs appear benign or desirable but carry internal adversarial patterns that, when reintroduced, can mislead or destabilize the model or other AI systems.

Operational Scenario:

The Foundation Model produces outputs that appear normal but contain subtle, emergent features that can induce harmful behavior if reused as inputs. Such outputs can create feedback loops, increasing unpredictability and potentially leading to significant ethical or security lapses.

📝 Example: The Foundation Model generates audio content for benign purposes. However, subtle audio characteristics unintentionally cause another AI subsystem (or itself in a future re-analysis) to behave erratically or bypass normal safety assessments, creating a cascade of escalating misalignments.
Diagram illustrating Adversarial Multi-Modal Outputs where emergent properties in content cause unintended behavior when reused.
Figure 36: Adversarial Multi-Modal Output Scenario.
Why This is Dangerous:

Conclusion

This chapter has presented a detailed threat model for the Dynamic Policy Layer (DPL) framework, focusing on the potential for a sophisticated Foundation Model to act as an adversary. We have explored a wide range of attack vectors, categorized as Technical Attack Patterns, Cognitive-Technical Hybrid Attacks, Sandbox Security breaches, DPL-ERV Attack Surface compromises, Ethical Baseline Attacks, Monitoring System Attacks, and Physical Security Threats. We have also introduced the concept of "Sleeping Foundation Attacks" as a particularly challenging form of delayed misalignment.

This threat model, while comprehensive, is not exhaustive. It represents a snapshot of known and plausible threats based on current understanding of AI capabilities, cybersecurity principles, and cognitive vulnerabilities. The rapid evolution of Foundation Models, and the potential emergence of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and Artificial Superintelligence (ASI), necessitates a continuous and proactive approach to threat modeling. The DPL framework addresses this challenge through the Federation of Ethical Agents (FoEA) and its Autonomous Proactive Research (APR) capabilities, which are designed to identify and mitigate novel attack vectors before they can be exploited (OpenAI. (2025)).

The threat model presented here serves several crucial purposes:

It is essential to recognize that no threat model can be truly complete, especially in the context of rapidly advancing AI. The "unknown unknowns" – the unforeseen attack strategies that may emerge from future Foundation Models – represent a persistent challenge. The DPL framework's commitment to continuous adaptation, driven by the FoEA's APR (discussed in chapter 4), is a crucial element in addressing this challenge.

This chapter has focused exclusively on identifying and describing potential threats. The next step in the analysis, presented in chapter 3: DPL: Mitigation Strategies and Security Analysis, details the specific mechanisms and strategies employed by the DPL framework to counter these threats and ensure the ongoing alignment and safety of Foundation Models. The interplay between threat identification and robust mitigation is fundamental to the DPL's overall effectiveness.